ForgeAsset / Supercharger ROI / Virginia
Tesla Supercharger ROI in Virginia
Virginia offers the only EV-specific rate in the library with no demand charge, set against a grid whose costs are rising on data-center load and a locality property tax that is the heaviest in the set. ForgeAsset models Dominion Energy Virginia's Schedule GS-3 EV Public Charging (non-demand branch) against Virginia's tax stack, with the state consumption tax folded in.
What makes Virginia economics distinct
An EV rate with no demand charge
Dominion's Schedule GS-3 EV Public Charging is an experimental rate whose non-demand branch carries no per-kW demand charge while a site stays below 200 kilowatt-hours per kW of peak (about a 28% load factor) — well above the utilization a fast-charging site models at. The demand charge that dominates low-utilization economics elsewhere is absent here. Enrollment is capped at 250 customers and closes at the end of 2029.
A grid priced by data centers
Northern Virginia is the world's largest data-center market, and Dominion projects around 5.4% annual peak-demand growth with a capital plan above $50 billion driven by that load. The regulator's 2025 order created a new large-load rate class requiring data centers to commit to long-term minimum take, explicitly to keep their costs off other customers — the backdrop to Virginia's rising rates.
The heaviest property tax in the library
Locality business personal property tax is steep in Virginia — Fairfax County's nominal $4.57 per $100 against an 80%-of-cost first-year assessment works out to about 3.66% of equipment value in year one, the heaviest modeled rate. The lower machinery-and-tools classification is statutorily unavailable to charging operators. Rates vary widely by locality and are editable.
Two dated near-term rate catalysts
Virginia's near-term rate path is unusually well documented: an adjudicated base-rate step (Dominion's first since 1992) takes effect in 2026 and 2027, and a separately docketed interim fuel rider took effect mid-2025. The modeled rate is an as-billed snapshot with re-derive notes tied to those events.
Utilities and tariffs modeled in Virginia
| Utility & tariff | Energy | Demand |
|---|---|---|
| Dominion GS-3 EV | 14.3¢/kWh flat | none (energy-only) |
Rates are digit-verified against each utility's own filed sheets and update within two weeks of any revision. Full derivations are on the methodology page.
Virginia tax profile
- Sales tax on hardware: 6%
- Business personal property tax: 3.66% of equipment value (example rate)
- Clean-fuels credit: no program
- Per-kWh charging excise: none
Virginia tax defaults applied: no clean-fuels credit program exists in Virginia (the LCFS revenue line is $0), Virginia's code excludes EV charging electricity from its alternative-fuels tax, LLC costs use the $50/yr registration plus a Fairfax-example local business-license fee, and the property-tax default uses the Fairfax County year-one rate — the heaviest in the library at roughly 3.7% of equipment value, while Virginia Beach runs 1.6%; locality rates vary widely and both fields are editable. Locality consumer utility taxes on the power bill (capped monthly amounts) are not modeled.
Virginia programs and incentives
Dominion Schedule GS-3 EV Public Charging
An experimental, separately-metered public-charging rate whose non-demand branch has no demand charge below about a 28% load factor. Enrollment is capped at 250 customers and closes December 31, 2029; a site must obtain the schedule.
NEVI (federal, VDOT-administered)
Roughly $106 million over five years along I-64, I-66, I-77, I-81, I-85, and I-95; a second award round funded 35 stations. Federal disbursement timing has faced pauses worth confirming before relying on it.
Virginia Clean Economy Act (grid context)
The 2020 law requires Dominion to reach 100% clean electricity by 2045, driving generation and storage build-out that raises the rate base alongside data-center growth. This is context for rising rates, not a site incentive.
Virginia charging market
Virginia carries roughly 106 Supercharger stations along I-95, I-64, and I-81 and in the Northern Virginia and Hampton Roads metros. Its economics are distinguished by an EV-specific no-demand rate and a grid whose cost trajectory is set by the world's largest data-center market.
Virginia Supercharger ROI — questions
- Does Virginia's EV rate have a demand charge?
- Dominion's Schedule GS-3 EV Public Charging has a non-demand branch with no per-kW demand charge, applied while a site stays below 200 kilowatt-hours per kW of peak — a threshold well above the utilization a fast-charging site models at. Enrollment is capped at 250 customers and closes at the end of 2029.
- Why are Virginia's electricity rates rising?
- Northern Virginia hosts the world's largest concentration of data centers, driving roughly 5.4% annual peak-demand growth and a Dominion capital plan above $50 billion. The 2025 regulatory order created a new rate class making large loads commit to long-term minimum take, alongside a base-rate step in 2026-2027 and a mid-2025 fuel rider.
- How heavy is Virginia's property tax on charging equipment?
- Among the heaviest in the library. Fairfax County's rate works out to about 3.66% of equipment value in year one, and the lower machinery-and-tools classification is statutorily unavailable to charging operators. Locality rates vary widely and the field is editable.
Sources
- Dominion Schedule GS-3 EV Public Charging tariff
- Virginia SCC — 2025 Dominion biennial review order
- Fairfax County — business personal property tax
- FHWA — NEVI funding by state
Model a Tesla V4 Supercharger site in Virginia — payback, NPV, IRR, and a 15-year cash flow from your own inputs.
Run a Virginia scenarioOther states: California, North Carolina, Georgia, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Florida, Arizona, Texas, Illinois, Michigan, Tennessee. Coverage spans twelve states in total — see the full list.
ForgeAsset is software, not investment, tax, or legal advice — outputs are model estimates from your inputs, not guarantees. Rates and programs current as of research; verify current terms with each source before committing capital.